Notes from the value engine
The LeagueFrenzy blog
Draft strategy for leagues that break consensus rankings — IDP scoring math, custom draft boards, and league-aware prep.
Projections and rankings are not the same question
Zoltan's August theme lists projections, rankings, and trades. Holdout accuracy and scoring-rule rank movement are separable — and the second can move a hundred ranks with zero projection change.
Read →Host vs research is the wrong map for draft week
Scoutcast's host vs research split is honest. Draft week still has a third job: rank from this league's scoring, not the host default and not a briefing.
Read →Rookie IDP Ranks Are a Scoring Setting
A rookie IDP list is a scoring setting plus a guess. Our published holdout measured neither, because pure rookies were never in that population.
Read →When a Spreadsheet (or Pairwise) Board Is the Wrong Tool
Fantasy Joes says Superflex, dynasty, and IDP readers are not their user yet. We agree — those formats change replacement. Here is the adjacent job.
Read →The 2026 Draft-App Roundup Is Missing a Category
Sean Ryan is right that a custom cheat sheet is the edge. The category his map has no row for is the sheet your league's rules generate instead of you.
Read →IDP Dart Throws: Volume Isn't One Number
A tackle dart and a sack dart are both volume bets, and they pay on different clocks. Our controlled sweep puts the gap at 2.5 versus 4.0 points per solo.
Read →Stay on Offense Until Round 7 - Unless Scoring Isn't
Davenport's 2026 IDP Draft Blueprint keeps vanilla leagues on offense for six rounds. We put a number on the scoring caveat he already states.
Read →Your IDP Ranking Is a Scoring System in Disguise
Jon Glosser publishes the scoring behind his Top 275 — including tackle values scaled by position. Here is how far a scoring change moves a fixed pool: 52 places.
Read →Three Scoring Families, Three IDP Drafts
Tackle-heavy, big-play, and True Position are three IDP drafts. We measure format span up to 52 ranks and why True Position is a slot change, like superflex.
Read →How We Learn Your League's Scoring Rules
Inside the unmapped-rules ledger: the 26 scoring codes in triage on 2026-08-10 — what we mapped, what we built with new measurement, and what we refused in writing.
Read →Why Season Pass Is $39.99 (Not $129)
What shipped since $24.99, why league-scoring rules remain the product, and why we still sit well below the category anchor.
Read →BeerSheets 2026: What Happened and What to Use Instead
The "no BeerSheets this year" notice has stood unchanged since 2023 — dated against the archive, plus an honest look at the replacements.
Read →2026 Fantasy Football Scoring Format Impact Report
One citation-ready report: historical projection accuracy plus controlled superflex, tackle-value, and four-format experiments with open data.
Read →What Is TE Premium in Fantasy Football?
Plain-English TE premium: +0.5 and +1.0 reception bonuses, why elite receiving tight ends re-price, and when to take TE early.
Read →How Does IDP Scoring Work?
What IDP means, common tackle and sack scoring patterns, and why offense-only rankings lose individual defensive player leagues.
Read →How LeagueFrenzy Values Players: Replacement and VORP
How replacement level and VORP-S vs VORP-D work, why CB vs DB labels and floors make IDP hard, and why roster-aware boards beat generic rankings.
Read →How Accurate Are Our Projections? Full Backtest
Eight target seasons with separate tuning and holdout years, latest-position detail, failed ablations, and an honest same-sample market comparison.
Read →How Much Is a Tackle Worth Before LB Beats WR1?
Sensitivity sweep over tackle points on a fixed research pool — crossover points for high-tackle, balanced, and sack-heavy LB shapes.
Read →The Superflex QB Premium, Quantified
1QB vs superflex on a fixed engine pool — who jumps how many ranks, and why projected points never move.
Read →15 Players Whose Value Swings Across Formats
Four scoring configs, one player pool, top 15 by rank standard deviation — poster children for league-specific boards.
Read →Why Generic Rankings Lose IDP Drafts (Do the Math Once)
One real IDP league, one linebacker outscoring an elite WR season by two rounds of value — and why the consensus board never sees it coming.
Read →
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